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It has been a rough year in 2020, to put it mildly, and the same goes here for our weekly underdog picks.
Week 3 brought us a second consecutive 1-2 week as we whiffed on the New York Giants and Denver Broncos in non-competitive losses, but we were spot on in picking a straight-up road win for the Green Bay Packers against the New Orleans Saints. That puts us at 2-7 on the season.
Week 4 brings another curveball or two with seven road teams favored, and the Pittsburgh Steelers-Tennessee Titans game delayed and off the board due to the Titans’ mini-COVID-19 outbreak.
We’ll swing away, though, hoping to connect for our first winning week. Here are your three Week 4 NFL underdog selections, utilizing the early Wednesday lines from BetMGM.
NFL underdog best bets: Week 4
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:50 a.m. ET.
Seattle Seahawks at Miami Dolphins +6.5 (-110)
Behind QB Russell Wilson’s sizzling start, the Seahawks are 3-0 – both straight up and against the spread. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers are the only other team that can currently say the same.
The Dolphins, meanwhile, notched their first win of the season in Week 3, walloping the host Jacksonville Jaguars 31-13 on Thursday Night Football. That gives the home team extra rest against an opponent making one of the league’s longest road trips of the season.
South Beach is no paradise for visiting teams, either, as the Dolphins boast a league-best .636 ATS winning percentage (14-8-2) at home since the start of the 2017 season. Overall, Miami is 11-4 ATS since an infamous 0-4 start a season ago.
Wilson and the Seahawks likely will still find a way to win, but the Seattle defense has been suspect. Bank on the underrated Ryan Fitzpatrick and the DOLPHINS +6.5 (-110) getting the cover and keeping the game within 6 points.
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Special Week 4 NFL Betting Promotion!
Bet $1 on ANY NFL team’s Sunday money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if ANY TEAM scores a touchdown during Sunday’s Week 4 action. Regardless of the outcome of your bet, you win with a touchdown scored by any team.
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Jacksonville Jaguars +3 (-110) at Cincinnati Bengals
The Jags and Bengals have combined for only one win so far this season, but both own 2-1 ATS marks, largely due to better-than-expected play from young QBs Gardner Minshew and Joe Burrow.
Minshew and Co. are on the road, but as mentioned, they’re coming off extra rest while Burrow and the Bengals played a 70-minute slugfest in Week 3, tying the host Philadelphia Eagles 23-23 on the road.
With the teams evenly matched and the home-field edge greatly diminished in 2020, take the JAGUARS +3 (-110) and the points.
New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions +4 (-110)
We are seemingly playing with fire here in going against what’s sure to be a fired-up Saints squad off to a 1-2 start and siding with a Detroit bunch which suffered a pair of ugly losses before upending the previously undefeated Arizona Cardinals on the road last week.
Saints QB Drew Brees hasn’t looked like himself this season, and he may be without injured top target WR Michael Thomas for a third straight game.
Lions QB Matthew Stafford, meanwhile, got his No. 1 target back a week ago in WR Kenny Golladay, and if the Detroit D can keep Saints super back Alvin Kamara (NFL-leading 438 yards from scrimmage and six touchdowns) from completely running wild, they should be able to keep things close.
Go with the LIONS +4 (-110) and the points as we look for a third straight win in as many weeks picking against the Saints.
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Brian Flores dishes on development of Dolphins RB Myles Gaskin (Dolphins Wire)Adrian Peterson will remain the Lions lead RB (Lions Wire)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/67391273/usa_today_13849936.0.jpg "Best nfl bets this week")
Best Nfl Bets This Week
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